Home >

2012: The United States "Hell Ten Years" Will Be More Dark.

2011/12/26 11:29:00 8

Fasten your seat belt: 2011 is much worse than expected.

We made earlier expectations about the worst ten years in American history, and now things are getting worse.


Financial historian Neal Ferguson (Niall Ferguson) wrote in the (Newsweek): "the two recession...

We forgot that the great depression was like a football match. It was made up of the first half and the second half.

The crash of 1929 opened the first half of the first half.

But "depression really changes".

It started in the 1931 European banking crisis. "

Does that sound familiar?


Yes, this is a solemn warning: but the United States can not hear and pretend to be deaf and dumb.

When we predict the 2011-2020 years of "ten years of hell", the following major macro events have not yet occurred: the Arab Spring is spreading like a virus, and the United States has launched the "Occupy Wall Street" movement, or the outbreak of the 2012 Spring has become a stronger force.

Middle class

Warfare

...

The widening gap between the rich and the poor...

Washington stalemate...

The super rich boycott all new taxes.


As Ferguson said, "we are now in a depressed state.

edge

To understand what is happening, you must understand history.

But hardly anyone knows. "

Do you understand? The United States is already on the edge of depression, but few people can understand it.

American leaders are ignorant of history.

Worse still, perhaps no one can prevent our depression from becoming "big".


Investors have noticed: please protect your assets: "we must not remember the lessons of history, and we must repeat the same mistakes."

We have forgotten the lesson of the 2008 disaster.

No wonder we must repeat the mistakes of 1930s, triggering the second great depression.

Does anyone want to play football?


Bill Bill (Gross Jeremy), Jeremy Jeremy (Jeremy Grantham), Gary Gary (Shilling) and Joseph Stiglitz (Joseph Stiglitz) will bring us more bad news about 2012.


Many people are as pessimistic as Ferguson.

Expect

Bill gross, Pimco of the Pacific Investment Management Company, asked himself, "where does the euro go? The possibility of a fall is very large, and it may fall significantly."

Gross warned that there might be a "terrible situation", "Euro or down..."

And destroy the economic recovery of the United States.


Next we listen to Jeremy Grantham's view that his GMO company manages $100 billion assets.

Grantham foresaw the financial crisis in 2008 two years ahead of schedule.

He predicted that it would be a "seven years' famine year" until the end of the next term of president in 2016.

Now, he wrote in his latest newsletter, he felt "depressed..."

My prediction about the seven years of famine has been confirmed.

It is hard for the world to recover from the current debt level. "The US and European leaders, who are on fire, have permanently slowed the growth of GDP in the US and Europe."


There are more bad news: in our first year of painting in the worst ten years of American history, Gary Xilin, an economist who wrote a column for Forbes for a long time, has just released his semi annual expectation: "global decline may occur" in 2012.

Well, the best thing he can say is that this recession will be less severe than the sharp decline in 2007-2008 years.

Of course, you have forgotten the pain, haven't you?


Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel Laureate in economics, also wrote on the Vanity Fair (Vanity) to review the dark history of the great depression. He warned that if we ignore history, we will miss the "real turning point of the real economy" as we did in 1930s and miss the opportunity to create future employment.

Yes, we are faced with the risk of "tragically repeating the mistakes of the Great Depression".


Ten major predictions for the worst ten years in the United States


In the past ten years, we have foreseen the bubble burst in 2000, the financial market crisis in 2008 and the flash bull market in 2009.

Historians will look back at this historical period from 2011 to 2020, which is likely to be called the worst ten years in American history. These ten years will be even worse than the Great Depression of 1930s.

Everything is expected, but politicians do not want to look squarely at it.


The following are the ten most recent predictions.

They are a series of chain reaction events that will change from quantitative change to qualitative change, and let the United States swallow up the wave of "creative destruction" by economist Joseph Shumpeter (Joseph Shumpeter).

Finally, after eliminating greed from the toxic capitalism of the United States, the spirit of the United States will be reborn, just like what happened during the great depression.


Let's take a look at what will happen in the next ten years.


2011: the super rich continue to invest heavily in controlling Washington, and spend no less than one billion dollars.


In the past thirty years, the democratic system in the United States has been in the hands of the Conservatives, and last year's decision by the Supreme Court gave the Conservatives complete control.

The progressive Federal Supreme Court overthrew the long held precedents last year, leaving companies with no soul to remain loyal to the rich shareholders, gaining the same and inalienable rights of others and speeding up their pursuit of absolute power.

I hope that the twenty-eighth amendment 28th (Bernie Sander) proposed by Senator Bernie Sander can change this situation, but it is hard to say.


2012: the absolute power of the super rich in the political system has been consolidated.


The decisions of the Supreme Court make political bribery legal.

Now, with one billion dollars in the hands of the lobbyists, the only goal is to ensure that politicians vote in line with the special interests of the rich.

Our middle class is rapidly becoming the poor of the third world.

The gap between the rich and the poor is steadily expanding.

Who won the 2012 general election is no longer important.

Money corrupted the entire democratic system.

Whether Obama (Obama), Mitter (Mitt) or Newt (Newt) are the puppets of this system.


2013: global population explosion and rapid depletion of resources


The US "super rich conspiracy" has squeezed trillions of dollars from middle-class taxpayers.

The super rich do not care about how much of the world's annual growth of 100 million people consume the scarce resources in the world. They regard it as a tool to become rich through free market capitalism and globalization.

They disregard the tragedy that the global population has climbed to 10 billion.

Bill Mae Gibbon (Bill


McKibbenc) and other environmentalists warned, "it may be too late to do it again.

Science has proved that the earth has begun to be destroyed, "we can not save the earth, but the super rich have turned a deaf ear to warnings.


2014: The Pentagon intensifying the global commodity war and the 2020 war will reach its peak.


When the Iraq war broke out, Fortune analyzed a confidential report from The Pentagon. The report predicted that "the climate will change radically and become the root cause of all national security problems."

The report also said that "massive drought will turn farmland into deserts and forests into ashes", and billions of new population will bring instability to the world.

There is also a forgotten lesson from history: "the old model may reappear, and war will dominate human life."

Yes, politicians who are unwilling to face up to reality choose wars and havoc rather than collaboration.


2015: the "gold-plated era" has led to the collapse of the "world empire".


When The Pentagon predicted the Third World War in 2020, Kevin Phillips (Kevin Phillips) also warned in the book "Wealth and Democracy" that "most of the great powers will become arrogant when their economic power reaches their peak. They will launch a world war at a huge cost, which will result in heavy resources and heavy debts, and they will end up burning themselves."

Ferguson also warned in the book Colossus: The Rise and Fall of The American Empire that the idea of "seasonal and periodic political progress" is self deception.


2016: Reagan style capitalism broke down, collapsed, and the bank went bankrupt.


Ferguson asked, "if the historical process is not cyclical, slow gradual, but irregular? If the decline does not take many centuries, it will happen suddenly and unawares." it is certain that the new conservative president will continue to ignore the lessons of history.

In addition, Jared Diamond warned in the book Collapse that "one of the disturbing historical facts is that so many civilizations have shown a downward trend of rapid decline..." (Judd)

After a civilization reaches its peak in its population, wealth and strength, it may begin to decline in ten to twenty years.


2017: class war and Revolution: capitulation after the defeat of the rich class


Warren Buffett (Warren Buffett) foresaw a revolution long ago. He said, "yes, class warfare will erupt, but war is launched by the rich class where I am, and the winner will be us."

But by the 2016 presidential election, political anger will set off a new round of American civil war against inequality.

The widening of the income gap has led to the collapse of the bubble and the collapse of the economy.

The riots will spread in the United States, and people must stop the government from rescuing banks too greedy and not allowed to fail again.

The new round of depression ignited class resistance.


2018: the US Federal Reserve Committee (Fed) and the collapse of Wall Street, the Glass-Steagall act restarted.


Dimon warned us: "when problems are revealed, but not very serious, leaders should have the courage to look at problems in a long-term perspective and make decisive, courageous and forward-looking decisions."

In fact, they did not act decisively.

History tells us that most leaders' motives are personal interests rather than long-term public interests. Those who accept billionaires' sponsorship are even more so, because rich people do not care much about the results of the season, the year-end awards and the outcome of the next election.


2019: global commodity war is spreading, millions of people are killed, trillions of dollars are burned.


More than half of the federal budget is invested in The Pentagon's war machine, making it impossible for the United States to take care of domestic priorities.

As expected, the accelerated growth of the world population and the reduction of scarce resources in the world have ignited a new round of commodity wars.

People have to reflect on whether the defense spending should be reduced at a time when domestic employment, education, health care, and pension projects are deteriorating rapidly.


2020: the birth of the first woman president in the United States and the end of the patriarchal era.


By 2020, we finally saw clearly the patriarchal system. Men have always dominated philosophy, economics, politics and culture since ancient times. They have failed our civilization and brought the world to the brink of destruction.


Why do male leaders always fail to live up to our expectations? Jeremy Grantham has been able to capture the fundamental flaws of the US national character a few years ago: the male leader's management style is quite emotional, short-sighted, and impatient.

Only focus on what we need to do in this quarter or annual budget. "

But the real leader should be held by more people with a historical perspective and more thoughtful and well-developed right brain.


Unfortunately, "our current leader is a group of people who only consider the left brain in the front."

Therefore, "whenever there is a small probability complex event without historical experience, they always deal with it poorly."


To make matters worse, men's shortsighted minds are deeply rooted today, and will soon forget the recent lessons of history, such as the 2008 crisis.

As a result, even "obvious and recurring historical events" will be ignored by our male leaders.


Class wars? Or gender wars? We will know the answer by 2020, but by then, it may be too late.

  • Related reading

China Will Expand The Scope Of Structural Tax Reduction &Nbsp, And Clarify The Relevant Road Map.

financial news
|
2011/12/26 9:01:00
17

Next Year'S Fiscal And Monetary Policy: Active In Seeking To Adjust &Nbsp; There Is Fine Adjustment In Stability.

financial news
|
2011/12/24 9:25:00
21

Winter Solstice "Freeze", Shanghai Stock Index Hit Another 32 Month Low

financial news
|
2011/12/23 14:14:00
4

名家观察:何必讳言“救市”

financial news
|
2011/12/22 10:43:00
22

Social Security Increased Billions Of Dollars Into The Market

financial news
|
2011/12/22 9:47:00
12
Read the next article

PEAK Fully Sponsors Iraqi Team For Pan Arabia Games

At the pan Arabia games, PEAK fully sponsored the Iraq and Lebanese delegation. The pan Arabia games will be an important selection and training competition for next year's London Olympic Games. PEAK's choice of supporting Asian teams will not only enhance the overall sports level in Asia, but also win the Asian market.