"Kim Gu" Has Been Polarized To The Downstream Market, And The Textile Enterprises Are Cautious About The Trend.
Today is September 2nd, the traditional "Kim Gu" on the first working day, do not know sitting on the office chair, how do you feel? But first, Xiaobian first takes you to review the textile market in 2017 and 2018.
Textile market in 2017
2017 is a hot year for textile market. The raw materials of chemical fiber raw materials, production enterprises have raised the price of products, and the prices of many factory products are rising two times, three times a day, and even the phenomenon of rising prices such as reluctant to sell. At the end of weaving and dyeing, the sales of conventional fabrics are sold out, the price increase is more than 30%, and the delivery date of printing and dyeing products has greatly extended. The market is so hot that it needs to bring money to pick up goods, and even to bring money to line up. Many textile bosses can compare with "making money in a golden day, lying down and making money".
2018 Textile market quotation
Compared to 2017, the traditional peak season in 2018 was "late". At the beginning of September, the price of raw materials jumped sharply, resulting in the price of grey cloth rising steadily, even rising by about 30% compared to 2017. At the same time, the supply of conventional grey cloth exceeds demand, the market is suppressed, and the weaving factories are in great distress. For traders, the price of grey cloth is rising, resulting in a sharp shrinkage in product profits, and the quotation is also not up. Cloth bosses are afraid to take orders. For the products that have already been placed, they can only go on with their heads. The market suddenly entered an awkward situation. The market did not improve until October. Overall, the market was enveloped in the "high season" atmosphere in the second half of the year.
In the first half of this year, the overall market situation can no longer be described as "cold". Many textile bosses say that there is no hope for the off-season market. The result of the blind expansion of the looms is that the textile market is extremely overcapacity this year, and the production and marketing are difficult. Coupled with the volatility of Sino US trade, the textile market has been stimulated. The recent Sino US trade frictions have escalated and market confidence has been suppressed.
Today, we have officially entered the traditional "Kim Gu". Now what is the textile market? Is there any sign of recovery?
1. conventional varieties appear "watershed", orders warmer and plain half.
How good is the market? Let's see how the sales of regular varieties are known. Conventional varieties are low in price and large in volume. Most textile enterprises in the market are involved. Once the conventional varieties are moving faster, we can understand that the market is getting warmer. In the off-season, the market volume of domestic trade and foreign trade is not satisfactory. Recently, with the anticipation of the "peak season" and the warmer demand for the downstream market, there has been a "watershed" in the market.
Recently, the orders on the market, including satin, Nei spinning, Dan Bu and Oxford cloth, have begun to show signs of improvement. Wu Jie of Nantong jetchuang textile said that the market in the first half of this year was really bad. The factory has been doing inventory, and the stock of each species has reached twenty or thirty meters. But the order situation has been slightly improved recently. It was just an order for proofing and a few hundred meters. Now the order of twenty thousand or thirty thousand meters is getting more and more, and the inventory is slowly decreasing.
But at the same time, the products of spring Asian spinning, polyester taffeta, chiffon, and imitation silk have not been greatly improved. In the process of investigation, a number of enterprises indicated that the sales volume of these varieties is general, and the order situation has not changed much. Chief executive of chiffon and silk imitation said: "the market of simulated silk has not improved this year, and the situation has not improved recently. Like chiffon, this year's profit is very low, basically add a little bit on the cost. When customers first press down the price, they can only keep the capital.
2., the phenomenon of market dumping still exists, but outdoor fabrics "suddenly rise".
As we all know, the main reason for this year's bad market is the fact that the rise of external looms has led to overcapacity except for the sharp shrinkage of demand for terminal garments. Therefore, from the beginning of June, there was an incident of "cheap sale of spring Asian spinning" and "polyester tau running a day losing one day" in the market. During the research process, Xiaobian still found that the phenomenon of market dumping still exists, or is dominated by conventional chemical fiber products.
The owner of the silk imitation business said that the cash flow in the market is still very slow at present, such as Chiffon products, but the price is not high, but the phenomenon of selling on the market can still be seen everywhere. In addition to the withdrawal of funds, such manufacturers also suppress the market price, resulting in price war, and business is more difficult to do.
Unlike conventional products, outdoor fabrics are less damaged in this "market storm". Fengben textile's temperature always indicated that during the off-season, the quantity of outdoor fabrics was stable, and it was not affected by the market, and the peak season of outdoor fabrics was in October, and now there is preparation for stocking.
Mitutoyo textile is mainly made of outdoor fabrics. Chen also said that although the amount of outdoor fabrics has declined since last year, the list of the backlogs has been released before the recovery of trade ports in the near future. I believe the latter will be more ideal.
With the change in the way of consumption of young people nowadays, outdoor sports are becoming popular. At the same time, compared with other products, outdoor fabrics are relatively small. There is no "rotten Street", and the demand is increased and the supply is tight, making outdoor fabrics "distinctive" in this year's textile industry.
3. Sino US trade frictions escalated and market confidence was under pressure.
Since the beginning of last year, Sino US trade has been a commonplace topic. But since the US side expressed its solicitation to raise the tariff rate of the 250 billion US dollar goods from 25% to 30% and decided to raise the 300 billion tariff rate of Chinese commodity duty from 10% to 15%, the textile market was in an uproar and the market confidence was under pressure.
Wu, manager of Jiangsu silk textile, said that although their trade department did not export to the United States, their gray cloth was exported to the US indirectly. Those traders who made the list of beauty were very cautious recently.
The owner of a main cotton and chemical fiber fabric also revealed that "Sino US trade has had a great impact on us. Now the customers are hesitant and the volume is small." This year, domestic demand is not strong, and we wanted to do more foreign trade. Now it seems that foreign markets are hard to do. "
The traditional "Kim Gu" has come, but in the light of the current textile market, it is not very optimistic. Overcapacity is still the biggest cause of death. Textile companies are basically cautious about the forecast for the next market. No one is confident that the peak season will come. It seems that the days of "lying in the making of money" are hard to come, and the follow-up is still concerned about the change of production capacity and terminal demand.
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