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A Shares Tesla Industry Chain Lifted The Tide Of Trading: New Energy Industry Chain Is Behind The Strong Worries Now

2020/2/6 14:26:00 116

A SharesTeslaIndustrial ChainTradingNew EnergyIndustrial ChainBehind The Worries

Driven by Tesla, the domestic new energy vehicle industry chain is boiling again.

In February 5th, the A share of the new energy vehicle sector moved higher and higher, the new energy vehicle index rose 3.61%, and nearly 20 stocks went straight to the limit.

In February 3rd, after the stock price rose 20%, Tesla's share price rose strongly in February 4th, and surged 13.73% again. During that time, Tesla's trading rose more than 24% to 968 U.S. dollars, approaching the 1000 dollar mark, narrowing at the end of the year, closing at $887, the market value of 159 billion 888 million U.S. dollars, equivalent to 1 trillion and 120 billion yuan, more than the public and BMW.

From January 29th to February 4th, Tesla increased by 52% on the 4 trading day. However, in February 5th, Tesla dropped more than 15% at the time of opening. With the surge of Tesla's stock price, A stock's Tesla stock market is riding a dust. The supplier represented by Ningde times, CXS shares and An Jie technology has been trading on two consecutive days. It has become one of the most powerful sectors in the A share market except for pharmaceutical stocks during the epidemic.

"Tesla first pulled the upstream industry chain needs, including power batteries and upstream battery materials, motors, controllers and other key components and materials of new energy vehicles. Secondly, the whole new domestic energy automobile industry has been stimulated, and the growth of Tesla sales and share price has raised some doubts about the new energy vehicle industry, so it has a positive role in promoting the sales volume of new energy vehicles and the development of the whole industry in China. In February 5th, Wu Hui, general manager of the research department of the Ivy Institute of economics, said.

Core suppliers rush to raise trading tide

Prior to this, Tesla announced the fourth quarter of 2019 earnings, the company achieved revenue in the fourth quarter of $7 billion 380 million, net profit of $110 million, two consecutive quarters of profit. In 2019, it achieved a total revenue of 24 billion 580 million US dollars, a net loss of US $860 million for the whole year, and revenue and performance were better than market expectations. Cash flow continued to improve.

Subsequently, Tesla shares were detonated and driven by the two tier market of domestic suppliers, and top domestic components manufacturers such as top group, Jun Sheng Electronics and Best announced their cooperation with Tesla Shanghai plant and successfully ushered in the continuous rise in share prices.

And among a large number of suppliers, the leading era of lithium battery is undoubtedly the most spectacular in Ningde.

Ningde has just announced its entry into the list of core suppliers of Tesla. First, the sharp decline in the A shares' 3000 shares ended up 3.67%, and then closed for two consecutive trading days from February 4th to February 5th.

As of the evening of February 5th, the total market value of Ningde was over 360 billion yuan, surpassing Vanke A and Hikvision, ranking fourth major market capitalization stocks in Shenzhen stock market, and at the same time, ranking in the "gem" position of gem, which is nearly 100 billion higher than that of second MINDRAY medical market capitalization.

In the announcement of the Ningde era, it was announced that it would sign an agreement with Tesla that the Ningde era will supply lithium batteries to Tesla from July 2020 to June 2022. The agreement has not determined the quantity and amount of purchase, and the final sales amount will be based on the actual purchase order issued by Tesla.

"The Ningde era mainly supplied Tesla power battery, which accounts for a higher proportion of the cost of the whole electric vehicle. Tesla is producing in China to reduce costs, and the demand for domestic power batteries is urgent. In addition, the government level should have certain requirements for Tesla's localization ratio, and domestic power battery enterprises can not enter Tesla supply chain, so there is a lot of demand for power battery in Ningde era. Wu Hui said.

He further pointed out: "the short-term stock prices in the Ningde era may rise too fast, but in the long run, once the trend of motor electrification is determined, the Ningde era will surely be the biggest beneficiary."

However, with the surge of stock prices in the Ningde era, many market participants are also worried about this situation. Up to now, the dynamic P / E ratio in the Ningde era has reached 80.87 times, which is significantly higher than other listed companies in the same industry, and it is nearly two times the average 43.47 times price earnings ratio of the electrical components and equipment industry.

"At present, the specific supply situation in the Ningde era has not yet been released. It is not easy to evaluate the future development space." In February 5th, an analyst at a new brokerage firm in Shanghai said that it was new.

On the same day, a private equity fund manager in Southern China also pointed out to the twenty-first Century economic news reporter: "we predict that the current trend of Ningde era is acceptable, but it may not be long. At present, the whole new energy vehicle industry is not as good as it imagined, and the future selling is not good. The stock price boom is mainly based on the anticipated speculation. (short term) the products of Ningde era are only a small part of Tesla industry."

From the current Ningde era billboard, we can see the concerns of institutional investors. In the two trading days of continuous trading, in February 4th, two seats were sold in the Ningde era, and the total sale was 153 million yuan.

New energy automotive industry encouraged

It is worth mentioning that the hot era of Ningde is only part of Tesla's release of "influence".

Tesla, Ningde's two giants surged, directly boosted the entire new energy vehicle sector of A shares. In February 5th, the new energy vehicle industry was almost all over the world. The 16 new energy stocks such as the national high tech group and Gaolan share limited trading volume, and the technology of Yung hundred rose by 14.46%. Even BYD increased by 7.9%.

"Since the second half of last year, the new energy industry chain has been bottoming out from the price of materials or the stock price since the second half of last year." (2019) the rebound since the end of November is also a resumption of the long term decline and a year's decline. In February 5th, the Secretary General of Zhongguancun's new battery technology innovation alliance pointed out in purview.

Public information shows that apart from the company that has direct cooperation with Tesla, many listed companies are regarded as two or three suppliers of Tesla by the market.

According to the data released by Dongxing Securities Research Institute, the Ningde era is a direct beneficiary of the two sides' cooperation. In addition, copper foil suppliers, Jiayuan technology, lithium ion separator supplier, en Jie shares, and Rong Bai technology, Zhong Li new material (Sinoma Technology), Pu Tailai, Grammy, Star source materials, and leading intelligence have been disclosed as suppliers of Ningde era. These enterprises are expected to benefit indirectly.

It is noteworthy that, despite the medium to long term, many listed companies in the new energy industry chain or benefit from Tesla brings good results, but the reporter interviewed found that the market for new energy vehicle industry chain development in the future, there are still some concerns.

"There must be some uncertainty. Autopilot technology is not mature, Tesla sales are less than expected, and electric vehicle safety accidents will affect Tesla, thus affecting the so-called industry chain in our country." Wu Hui said.

Yu Ching also pointed out: "Tesla is also good, the domestic new energy industry chain listed companies, I feel that there is a little hype in the near future, after all, there is still some uncertainty in the substantive market and national policy subsidies, especially by the new coronavirus, both traditional cars and new energy vehicles have been hit."

In the view of Puritanism, the basic problems of listed companies are not big. But from the material price and market situation, it is not too (able) to support the excessive speculation of stock prices. The key lies in the clarity of the sales and subsidy policies of new energy vehicles. "If sales can reach 1 million 500 thousand, 1 million 600 thousand units, or a higher estimate of 1 million 800 thousand vehicles, the recovery of the new energy automobile industry is also a good thing."

 

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