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Evaluation And Analysis Of China Textile City 20200824 Price Index

2020/8/25 14:36:00 69

Price IndexPrice Analysis

"China · Keqiao Textile index" 20200824 textile price index closed at 103.79, up 0.38% month on month, 1.28% lower than the beginning of the year, and 1.56% lower than the same period last year.

Recently, the marketing of China's light and textile market has been promoted month on month. Among them, the market price of raw materials has risen slightly, the market price of grey cloth has risen slightly, the price of cloth in the clothing fabric market has risen slightly, the transaction price of home textile products has dropped slightly, and the market of accessories has increased significantly.

1、 Raw material prices rose slightly, polyester ring ratio fell slightly, pure cotton yarn market steadily pushed up

According to monitoring, the price index of raw materials in the current period closed at 76.77, up 0.29% month on month, 5.51% lower than the beginning of the year, and 7.38% lower than the same period last year.

1. Polyester market more shock, polyester market fell slightly month on month

The price index of polyester raw materials in this period fell slightly month on month. PTA spot mainstream in East China is 3535-3555 yuan / ton, MEG mainstream is about 3695-3725 yuan / ton, polyester chip market quotation is down month on month, and semi smooth chip cash or acceptance in March is about 4625 yuan / ton in Jiangsu and Zhejiang. The price of polyester filament in Xiaoshao area decreased month on month. The price of POY decreased by 145-150 yuan / ton, while that of FDY was flat, and that of DTY was about 50 yuan / ton. The price of polyester filament is stable and falling, both polyester products and textile and garment fields are facing certain pressure in the near future. China's polyester products have always been troubled by anti-dumping, and there are still certain export barriers in the polyester industry; Sino US trade relations are still tense, and other textile countries will form certain competition against China's textile and clothing; At the same time, Vietnam has reached a free trade agreement with the European Union, which has been implemented since August 1. Then Vietnam will form certain order competition and diversion for textile and clothing products exported from China to the European Union, which will have a great impact on the export of Chinese clothing, and it will take time for foreign demand to boost. China's polyester filament products are mainly sold at home. However, with the expansion of domestic production capacity, especially the release of new capacity since this year, the situation of overcapacity in the industry is aggravated.

In recent years, the price of polyester staple fiber has fallen month on month. The center price of Jiangsu and Zhejiang 1.4d × 38mm direct spinning polyester staple fiber is 5450-5480 yuan / ton, with a drop of about 50-80 yuan / ton, and the center of gravity of transaction price falls month on month. In the near future, the market quotation of pure polyester yarn has been rising steadily. The price of 32S pure polyester yarn is about 9350 yuan / ton, which is flat month on month; the price of 45S pure polyester yarn is 10550-10600 yuan / ton, and the quotation is up 50-100 yuan / ton month on month.

2. Pure cotton yarn market shock upward, people cotton yarn price stable in the retraction

In the near future, the overall market of pure cotton yarn increased slightly, and the price was basically stable. Xiaoshao area pure cotton yarn market quotation is basically stable, local transaction increased. Since August, some trading enterprises have reported that the situation of receiving orders has improved, and the frequency of purchasing orders has increased. Orders placed are mainly autumn and winter fabrics. Due to the seasonal demand of autumn and winter fabrics, export orders in some regions have increased. Recently, the demand of cotton mills for medium and high-end Xinjiang cotton is relatively good, especially the machine picking cotton of Xinjiang production and Construction Corps above Shuang 28. The frequency and quantity of purchasing have increased, and many enterprises have also increased 100-200 yuan / ton. With the recovery of orders, some enterprises' orders have increased, and the order yarn tends to the middle and high-end, which significantly increases the digestion of high-quality Xinjiang cotton, so the replenishment of high-grade lint is increased in varying degrees. Due to concerns about the impact of the epidemic situation on the transfer of cotton in Xinjiang, the shipment of high-quality resources from some warehouses in the mainland has also increased accordingly. At present, the textile market is recovering slowly. In the process of rapid recovery of import yarn demand and the recovery of foreign trade orders, the spring of domestic yarn will be closer and closer. Looking back on the past years, most of the autumn and winter fabric orders began in late August, until the explosive release in September, which is commonly known as "gold nine silver ten".

In recent years, the price of viscose staple fiber has been rising steadily in some areas. The actual central price of viscose staple fiber in the middle end of 1.5D × 38mm is about 8460-8465 yuan / ton, and the price is increasing by 100-105 yuan / ton. Recently, the price of people's cotton yarn has been partially stable and has shrunk. The price of 30s people's cotton yarn is about 11520 yuan / ton, and the price is about 20-30 yuan / ton; the price of 40s people's cotton yarn is about 12800 yuan / ton, and the price is still low.

2、 Grey cloth market rose month on month, the price index rose slightly

According to monitoring, the grey fabric price index of this period closed at 121.33, up 0.10% month on month, 1.21% higher than the beginning of the year, and 1.92% higher than the same period last year.

The grey fabric price index of this period showed a slight upward trend. In the near future, the marketing has been promoted, and the orders of grey cloth manufacturers have increased slightly, and the price of grey cloth has risen slightly. Among them: the market of blended fiber grey cloth rose on a month on month basis, and the price index showed a small upward trend; the marketing of natural fiber grey cloth was pushed up on a month on month basis, and the price index showed a small upward trend; the spot transaction and order delivery of chemical fiber grey cloth were promoted on a month by month basis, and the price index showed a slight upward trend; the overall price index of grey fabric was slightly increased. In recent years, the average number of fabrics in Shaoxing, such as taffey fabric and spandex fabric, is more than 73.0% in the warehouse of conventional textile and spandex. The continuity of this wave of autumn and winter fabric market can be maintained until the end of August to the beginning of September. Although there is no major breakthrough change in the whole domestic market, many suppliers began to proofing frequently and substantial orders increased. The foreign trade market also began to improve after gradually adapting to the changes in the international situation, especially the arrival of autumn and winter fabric orders, gradually opened up the situation, sales began to improve, and the demand for autumn and winter grey fabrics increased month on month. This wave of market has driven manufacturers' enthusiasm for production. If the future market continues to improve, then the market inventory will slowly decline; if this wave of market is only temporary, it is likely to aggravate the overcapacity in August.

3、 Clothing fabric sales rebounded, price index rose slightly

According to monitoring, the clothing fabric price index of this period closed at 116.84 points, up 0.59% month on month, 0.31% lower than the beginning of the year, and 0.14% lower than the same period last year.

This issue of clothing fabric price index rose slightly. Recently, China Textile City fabric market clothing fabric sales rebounded month on month, innovative fabric prices rose month on month, the price of creative products with fashion elements rose month on month. Recently, the autumn clothing fabric spot transaction and order delivery rebounded month on month, and the clothing fabric order delivery in early winter increased slightly, while the price rose slightly. Among them: the transaction price of pure cotton fabric, polyester fabric, polyester wool fabric, polyester ammonia fabric, viscose fabric, viscose fabric, nylon fabric and nylon cotton fabric increased by different volumes; the overall price index of clothing fabrics increased slightly. Recently, the traditional market has recovered, and the overall order has increased significantly. Although the order volume is still lower than that in the same period of previous years, the inventory of grey fabric, fabric and raw materials in the industry shows a slight downward trend on a month on month basis. At present, weaving enterprises are quite cautious about the follow-up expectations, whether it can continue is unknown. In summer, the turnover of thin fabrics continues to decline, and there are many suppliers in the traditional market. The proofing of fabrics in autumn and winter continues to increase slightly, and orders are increased locally. Domestic trade orders and foreign trade orders have improved. In terms of foreign trade orders, orders from Europe and the Middle East still account for a relatively large proportion.

4、 Home textile market partial retraction, price index fell slightly month on month

According to the monitoring, the home textile price index closed at 101.95, down 0.30% month on month, 0.48% higher than the beginning of the year, and 0.20% higher than the same period last year.

The home textile price index fell slightly on a month on month basis. Recently, the light textile city home textile market transaction partial retraction, the price fell slightly month on month. The spot trading volume and order delivery volume of popular color pattern fabric decreased month on month, while the spot transaction volume and order delivery volume of running volume products decreased month on month. Among them: window screen spot transaction and order delivery fell down month on month, and the price index showed a slight downward trend; daily household textile spot transaction and order delivery continued to decline, and the price index showed a slight downward trend; bed linen spot transaction and order delivery fell month on month, and the price index showed a slight downward trend; the overall price index of home textile industry fell slightly.

5、 The market rose significantly, and the index of auxiliary materials rose month on month

According to the monitoring, the clothing accessories price index closed at 131.70, up 1.14% month on month, 0.05% lower than the beginning of the year, and 1.21% higher than the same period last year.

The price index of clothing accessories rose month on month. Recently, the market of clothing accessories in the traditional market of light textile city has rebounded significantly. As the downstream enterprises have increased their stock on a month on month basis, spot transactions and order delivery have shown a month on month recovery trend. The market of clothing lining materials rebounded significantly, and the price index showed a certain range of upward trend; the wire and rope market rose on a month on month basis, and the price index showed a certain range of upward trend; the overall price index of auxiliary materials rose on a month on month basis.

6、 Forecast of future price index

It is expected that the overall market of light and Textile City in the next period will show a small upward trend. Due to the small increase in downstream demand, the future market trend is partial smooth. The fabric supply in autumn will increase month on month, the spot transaction of fabric in autumn will increase month on month, and the fabric batch trial order in early winter will increase slightly. The enthusiasm of North and South merchants for subscription will rise slightly, and the marketing trend will increase in some parts. The traditional marketing of the future light textile city will be weak day by day, and the overall market transaction will show a small upward trend of concussion. Although the "gold nine silver ten" is coming soon, it is expected that the "success" will certainly not be compared with the previous years.

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