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Prediction: "Kim Gu" Countdown For 1 Months, Is There Any Drama In The Textile Season?

2019/8/2 11:12:00 3

Kim GuTextile Peak Season

In these hot weather, the workers in the textile mill were unable to stay at first, and many workers went home on leave. High temperature and holiday have become high-frequency words in recent circle of friends. 


High temperature, vacation, loom load down to 6-7!


"Recently, many workers in the factory have asked for a holiday, so this week we are going to have three days off." Recently, Chen, general manager of a textile mill in Wujiang, said. According to investigation and research, Xiaoshao, Shengze, Changxin, Changshu and other textile industrial cluster factories are more frequent because of the high temperature limit production, and the market opening rate is down more obviously.


According to the statistics of sample enterprises in China's silk net monitoring, the load of water jet looms has dropped from 8-9 to 7-8 in the past month, and the warp knitting load has dropped from 7 to 5-6, and the starting rate of circular knitting machines has decreased from 5-6 to 4-5.



Since last week, the continuous high temperature in the country has suppressed the enthusiasm of the workers, and many workers have asked for a holiday because of poor production environment. This has relieved the original textile boss who "struggled". "Holiday is also good. Before, unless the electricity limitation, environmental protection and high temperature are not high enough, we will not have a holiday, but this year business is general. We can also take a holiday slowly." Obviously, in addition to high temperature factors, the current off-season continuous fermentation has become the biggest reason for the boss to leave.


This year, the busy season and the off-season have become the pronoun of the industry. Many bosses began to "worry" last year. Entering August, there is only one month left from the traditional textile peak season. Will this year's "golden nine silver ten" come? In fact, the market has begun to release some signals.

Resumption of the twelfth round of China US trade and economic consultation


On the 30-31 day of July, the twelfth round of Sino US economic and trade consultations held in Shanghai. Each step of the Sino US economic and trade consultation will raise the market's confidence in the economic growth of China and the United States and even the whole world. Although the results are not yet known, most of the textile people are in a positive mood and rationally look at this consultation.

China's textile and garment market is more dependent on exports. According to incomplete statistics, China's textile and garment products exported over 270 billion US dollars in 2018, while domestic retail sales of textile and apparel were around 200 billion US dollars. The United States is China's largest exporter of textile and clothing products. The United States will impose tariffs on textile and clothing products, which will directly increase the export cost of China's textile and clothing products and weaken the price competitiveness of China's textile and clothing products.

This year, the whole foreign trade market environment is not good. The Sino US trade split accounts for a majority of factors. Although the current form of comprehensive reconciliation is not yet clear, as long as the development is good, some orders that originally lost Southeast Asia or wait-and-see will not be returned to domestic suppliers. Therefore, the upgrading of external demand will play an important role in the next "golden nine silver ten".


Autumn and winter fabrics finished better than last month.


In the first half of this year, the market has been disappointing, to a large extent, because the replenishment of spinning clothes is not enough. It is reported that the demand cycle of textile and clothing replenishment has lasted for two years, and has reached a peak in the fourth quarter of last year. Therefore, the demand for textile materials has increased rapidly in the past 2016-2018 years, but with the end of the replenishment period, the demand for pulling the whole terminal in 2019 has obviously weakened.

Entering the July, driven by the soaring raw materials, the sales volume of the fabric market has been driven more or less. Chen, a trade minister in Shaoxing, said that the order was better in July this year than in June, but compared with the same period last year, it was still more obvious. "The recent proofing is better than before, and I hope the market will continue in August." He said.

According to some cloth boss in Shengze area, the proofing and sample finding began to increase in the recent stage, and some orders were also issued. Although the market has not improved substantially, individual products are showing signs of improvement, especially four rounds, high elastic fabrics and imitation memory. "Although the list is not many recently, there are more and more proofing people. Hopefully, they will be converted into orders." Traders General Wu said.


There are bright spots for printing and finishing orders.


In late July, some good news came from printing and dyeing factories. Individual chromaticity volume had a certain degree of recovery. It is reported that there is a slight increase in the number of dyed dyes compared to the end of June and the beginning of July, and the starting rate of dye vats has increased from 7 to 8 per cent, and the delivery period has been prolonged. Xiao Chen, a salesperson in Wujiang, said: "Although the high temperature affects the production capacity, it usually takes about 3 days before the shipment. It has to be around 5 days in recent days. Recently, the list of dyed factories that I often do starts more. I heard that a large printing factory received a 2 million meter list, and many of them could not come out. "



It can be seen that although the market is in the off-season, there are bright spots in the downstream sectors. "The order will arrive at the time point, and the demand will still exist." "Xiao Chen said.


More than half a year has passed, the current market is still in the off-season stage, as many textile bosses say: This year is the off-season, this year is also, so it is normal, do not expect this season orders will erupt, but the golden nine silver ten also can flourish, is the key this year.

At present, the market is still trapped in the abyss of "overcapacity and sluggish demand". In order to change the status quo, we need to reduce supply or increase demand, but the two operations are more difficult to operate. After all, the era of making money has long passed. Xiaobian believes that this year the market will encounter more "stumbling block", the name of the peak season or will be discounted, the market has officially entered the era of survival of the fittest, orders are not prosperous, the key is to see products.
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