Textile Enterprises Need To Be Stable In Operation

After entering October, the whole textile market seems to have been stepped on the accelerator, opening the "hurricane" mode, domestic and foreign trade orders continue to flow, so that textile people feel the long lost peak season.

What is the specific performance of the peak season? In the face of such unexpected, reasonable peak season, what do textile people think?

I've heard it many times recently

After the National Day holiday, the most intuitive feeling of textile people is that it seems that everything has begun to rise in price.

From the table below, we can clearly see that after October, the prices of all raw materials have risen, and the price of spandex and cotton yarn has even increased by more than 200 yuan / ton.

Driven by raw materials, the price of grey cloth also began to rise. However, except for some popular varieties, the increase of woven fabric is generally 0.1-0.2 yuan / m, which can basically offset the rise of raw material price.

Generally speaking, the price of fabric dyeing has not increased by 0.3 yuan per meter in general, but the price of raw materials has not risen by the same extent in some dyeing factories. Mr. Wang, head of a large printing and dyeing enterprise, explained that the market has just recovered, so it is still mainly to protect customers, and it is not acceptable for customers to rise too much at once.

On the other hand, due to the recent boom in dyeing factories, the "urgent order" which once appeared only when the market was particularly good has come back to the market again.

Manager Xu, the person in charge of a foreign trade company, said that he had received a lot of orders recently, but when it came to printing and dyeing, many dyeing factories were out of stock and had no time to do it. The delivery time is now 15-30 days, the pressing card will take 10 days, and the dyeing fee has also increased. Some orders need to be speeded up, but they need to increase 0.2 yuan / M and 0.6 yuan / m for express.

Because the orders are so busy, most textile enterprises have a National Day holiday within three days. Some enterprises with urgent orders even cancel the National Day holiday, which is unexpected before the investigation.

Such a hot market also reflects the macro data.

In terms of loom starting rate, the loom starting rate has risen to 80-90% at this stage, which is about 10% higher than that before the National Day holiday, and has basically reached the normal level in the same period of previous years.

In terms of polyester production and marketing, after the National Day holiday, the average production and sales of polyester filament in polyester factories has been more than 100 for the first time in a row this year, and weaving enterprises began to concentrate on replenishment.

In terms of polyester inventory, from the statistical data of China silk capital network, the overall inventory of polyester market is now concentrated in 26-39 days; in terms of specific products, POY inventory is up to 10-14 days, FDY inventory is around 20-39 days, and DTY inventory is about 28-39 days.

Domestic trade develops strength, external single return, textile market meets "high light moment"

Textile is a very cyclical industry, its market is affected by the weather is very obvious.

Even in the first half of the year, there was still a hot season for fabric preparation in early May. And recently, as the weather began to gradually turn cold, autumn and winter fabric preparation is imminent.

In addition, with the rise of e-commerce economy, the concepts of "double eleven" and "Double Twelve" have gradually become the hot spot of market pursuit, which is partly reflected in the order aspect.

Mr. Zhang, the person in charge of a weaving enterprise that produces elastic fabrics, said that after October, the factory has already walked more than 100000 meters of cloth, many of which are "double 11" orders. Now the market is getting better and better. The daily volume of goods has reached tens of thousands of meters, and the products are mainly T800.

In addition, there are reasons for the return of foreign trade orders.

Before the National Day holiday, market news said that since September, many export-oriented textile enterprises in India could not guarantee normal delivery due to the epidemic situation, and a large number of orders have been returned to China.

According to CCTV news on October 14, when a person in charge of the foreign trade department of the Ministry of Commerce answered the relevant questions, it is normal market behavior for multinational companies to adjust their order production globally and for international purchasers to select suppliers according to their production capacity.

In fact, not only India, but also Vietnam, the Philippines and other Southeast Asian countries have also been greatly affected by the epidemic. Some orders also flow from these countries to China, and the return of orders is obviously reflected in the order receiving.

General manager Xu, a trader, said that compared with September, the number of orders has increased a lot. At present, there are 100000 meters of cotton cloth orders, 200000 meters of recycled Chunya textile and recycled peach skin velvet orders, which are exported to the United States through foreign trade companies.

Hidden dangers in peak season

It is gratifying that the first real peak season in 2020 is coming, but for textile workers, the hidden danger behind the hot market is worth alerting.

First, there is the problem of two-level differentiation. At present, the hot-selling fabric varieties in the market are concentrated in the categories that can be used in the production of autumn and winter fabrics, such as elastic fabric, imitation memory fabric, Nisi spinning fabric and high-F spring sub spinning fabric, which have strong seasonality. However, for example, the fabric with less autumn and winter properties of imitation silk still has no significant improvement at this stage.

Secondly, the demand for foreign trade. Recently, the world's new epidemic has rebounded, with more than 8 million confirmed cases in the United States, and even more confirmed cases in Europe than in the United States. Some countries and regions have taken strict measures to close down cities, which has greatly affected market demand.

Finally, there is the problem of order quantity. Although the market at this stage has been greatly improved compared with the first half of the year, according to the survey results, most of the distribution owners said that the number of orders received has not recovered to the same period in previous years, with more than 70% to 80% in previous years and a small amount to about 50% in previous years. Such order recovery can not fully make up for the "blood loss" caused by the epidemic in the first half of the year.

However, it is also because of the existence of so many hidden dangers, in the current market is booming, most weaving enterprises still take cautious operation, which can be seen from the purchase of raw materials.

Manager Lei, the director of a weaving enterprise which mainly produces yarn dyed fabrics and imitated memory fabrics, said that even if the price of raw materials has risen, there is no preparation. Because the rise and fall of raw materials this year is too normal, so even if it rises now, it still doesn't feel much better, and it is unlikely that it will continue to rise in the future.

Mr. Wang, the person in charge of a large-scale silk imitation weaving enterprise, also said that we did not specially prepare more goods. One is that we have a large stock of grey cloth, which takes up a large amount of capital. The other reason is that we are not optimistic about the future market. Recently, the market is crazy. The market price comes and goes very fast. After the price of raw materials rises, it may fall. There is no need to hoard high price raw materials Materials.

It can be seen that after the "magic" of 2020, in the face of a sudden "peak season", textile enterprises in all aspects of operation began to "seek stability", also become more rational.